🟢 1. GIFT Nifty: Firm Opening Expected
Level: 22,654.5 (+334.5 / +1.5%)
Indicates positive sentiment and a potential gap-up opening in Indian markets after the previous day’s sell-off.
Suggests recovery in global sentiment and possible short-covering in today’s session
🌏 2. Global Market Summary
Asian Markets: Strong rebound
Nikkei 225: +5.57%
Kospi: +1.55%
ASX 200: +1.44%
US Markets: Mixed
Dow Jones: -0.91%
S&P 500: -0.23%
Nasdaq: +0.10%
Europe: Heavily negative
DAX: -4.13%
FTSE: -4.38%
CAC 40: -4.78%
🔻 Despite strong Asian cues, Trump’s tariff threats have shaken confidence in US and European markets.
🔥 3. Fear & Greed Index
Current Reading: 56.95 (in the Greed zone)
Market is not in panic. Sentiment still mildly bullish despite recent correction.
Room for recovery rallies if macro headwinds soften.
📊 4. Indian Market Snapshot
Nifty 50: -3.24% to 22,161.6
Bank Nifty: -3.19% to 49,860.1
India VIX: +65.70% to 22.79 — Huge volatility spike, indicating fear & potential whipsaws.
USD/INR: Slight dip to 85.93 (after sharp fall previous day)
Crude Oil: Stabilizing above $61 after a 15% crash in 3 days
📉 5. Nifty Technicals
Candle Pattern: Long bullish candle after gap-down; shows strong dip-buying.
Indicators:
RSI: Bearish crossover (momentum weakening)
MACD: Bearish crossover confirmed
Support: 22,000 (immediate), 21,700 (swing low)
Resistance: 22,350 – 22,400
📌 Nifty traded near lower Bollinger Band with high volume — could trigger a short-term bounce.
🏦 6. Bank Nifty Technicals
Close: 49,860.1 (fell 3.2%, recovered 1.4% intraday)
Indicators:
Below all key EMAs (bearish trend)
MACD: About to cross bearish
RSI: Bearish crossover
Structure: Weakness persists; any bounce may face resistance near 51,000
📈 7. Derivatives Data
Nifty Weekly PCR: Not specified, but explanation notes:
PCR < 1: Bullish
PCR > 1: Bearish
Call OI increasing → Resistance buildup
Put OI increasing → Support levels holding
Volatility: Traders should be cautious with aggressive option strategies.
🔍 8. Volume Shockers & Buildups
Top Long Buildups:
Siemens
Persistent Systems
Tata Steel
Top Short Buildups:
Delhivery
Godrej Consumer
Suzlon Energy
This suggests selective buying in high-quality stocks, while weaker names face selling.
📰 9. Stocks in News
Bharat Electronics: ₹2,210 Cr order from IAF
M&M: Strong production & sales growth
Titan: CaratLane up 22% YoY
Brigade: ₹225 Cr Mysuru project
Lemon Tree: Hotel license in Darjeeling
Cyient: 26% YoY revenue growth
Positive sentiment expected in these names on back of strong updates.
💣 10. Macro Headwinds
Trump’s Tariff Threat: 50% additional if China doesn’t comply
EU Counter Tariffs: 25% on US goods
Gold: Up 0.43% as safe-haven demand rises
Global Trade Risk: Key factor for near-term volatility
🔁 11. FII/DII Activity
7 April: FII – ₹5,254.6 Cr | DII + ₹34,389.8 Cr
4 April: FII – ₹8,399.9 Cr | DII + ₹24,453.9 Cr
3 April: FII – ₹22,770.5 Cr | DII + ₹17,755 Cr
🟥 Heavy FII selling, but strong DII buying is cushioning the fall.
⛔ 12. Ban List Stocks
Birlasoft
Hindustan Copper
Manappuram Finance
Avoid fresh positions in these stocks due to F&O restrictions.
🔍 Summary Outlook
View | Commentary |
---|---|
📈 Short-Term | GIFT Nifty suggests positive opening, but macro risks linger |
⚠️ Volatility | Very high (VIX near 23), caution advised |
🧠 Strategy | Buy quality on dips; avoid high-beta or over-leveraged names |
📉 Risk Zone | Global trade war fears, FII outflows, technical breakdowns |
🟩 Opportunity | Dip-buying in strong stocks with news-based triggers |
⚠️ Disclaimer:
The data presented is for informational purposes only and reflects historical fund flow activity. It should not be construed as investment advice. Always consult a certified financial advisor before making investment decisions.